Page 184 - Profile's Unit Trusts & Collective Investments - September 2025
P. 184

Chapter 9                                              Fund manager interviews

         Comment on the year ahead and, if possible, estimate the performance of your fund over 2 or
         3 years. What are your targets and objectives for the year ahead?
           We do not attempt to forecast market or fund returns over one-year periods. We continue to find a
         wide disparity in valuations across different geographies and sectors, and whilst we are not overly
         excited about the risk and return prospects of equity markets in aggregate, we do find it possible
         to buy assets at attractive valuations that gives us confidence in the longer term returns the fund
         should deliver to investors.

         Are equity markets in general overpriced? Do you anticipate a significant correction?
           In aggregate, we consider the world equity market to be on the expensive side of fair value. But
         this is mainly due to the US market which dominates global indices. Emerging markets and some
         non-US developed markets appear to offer attractive value though.
           The level of the US market relative to longer term measures of value suggests that future returns
         are likely to be lower than that seen over the past decade. However, we have no view as to the
         likelihood of a short term correction.
         Which  asset  classes  do  you  expect  will  give  the  best  total  rates  of  return  over  the  next
         few years?
           Global equities – but given valuations currently, we expect divergent outcomes between different
         geographies within global equities.

         Offshore investments are heavily influenced by the rand. Give your view on the rand over the
         next 1, 3 and 5 years.
           As with markets in general, we do not attempt to make short term forecasts of exchange rates. On
         a longer term view, with reference to purchasing power parity, we continue to view the rand as priced
         too cheaply, and hence expect rand cash investments (i.e., including interest) to be a better store of
         value than many other currencies (notably the US dollar).
         _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
         Steyn Capital Equity Prescient Fund

         Sector: South African–Equity–SA General
         Portfolio manager: André Steyn
         Benchmark: FTSE/JSE Shareholder Weighted Total Return Index net of fees

          Returns to investors                                  1 year          3 years
          Steyn Capital Equity Prescient Fund                  25.92%           18.36%
          Sector Average                                       21.43%           14.07%
          Inflation (CPI)                                       3.02%            4.49%
          ProfileData performance stats to 30 June 2025: CAGR with dividends reinvested

         Describe your investment universe
           Steyn Capital Management has a 16-year track record of successfully investing in equities across
         inefficient  markets,  including  South  Africa,  the  rest  of  Africa,  and  global  Frontier  and  Emerging
         Markets, both on the long and short sides. Over that time-frame, we have whittled down the universe
         of  40  000  listed  equites  across  these  markets  into  a  proprietary,  high-quality  universe  of  4  500
         businesses in Emerging and Frontier markets. We screen that proprietary universe for undervalued
         stocks across our markets, with our South African equity unit trust generally being able to invest in
         the 150 largest locally listed equities.

         Comment on your investment year (July 2024 – June 2025) from a fund manager’s point of view
           We’ve had a pleasing 12-month period to June 2025, driven by our SA Inc positioning which
         drove performance after the elections. We harvested much of the SA Inc exposure in the post GNU
         rally, and reinvested the proceeds in stocks with Emerging Markets exposure, like Naspers, Prosus



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