Page 183 - Profile's Unit Trusts & Collective Investments - September 2025
P. 183

Fund manager interviews                                               Chapter 9

           The 20% offshore investment within the fund (held in the Denker Global Financial Fund) is also
         well positioned to deliver potential returns of 10% to15% over the medium term, measured in US
         dollars. A stronger rand would detract from these returns measured in rand terms.
         Are equity markets in general overpriced? Do you anticipate a significant correction?
           Certainly, the US tech sector and the S&P 500 have price earnings ratios quite far above their
         historical averages. In contrast, most markets in the EU, UK and emerging markets are attractively
         priced, reflecting the excessive negativity towards those markets – which increases the probability
         that these markets will outperform the US market. Despite the financial sector’s strong performance
         over the past few years, it remains mispriced (especially in the EU, UK and most emerging markets).
         Could you identify three shares that fall within your universe that you think will perform well
         in the medium term?
              „ South Africa: Investec, Nedgroup, MMI and potentially Absa. Over the longer term: Capitec
              and OUTsurance.
              „ Globally: US Bancorp, IG Group, Arch Capital and Bank Mandiri in Indonesia.
         _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
         Rozendal Global Prescient Feeder Fund
         Sector: Global–Multi Asset–Flexible
         Portfolio managers: Paul Whitburn and Wilhelm Hertzog
         Benchmark: FTSE Global All Cap index converted to ZAR
          Returns to investors                                  1 year          3 years
          Rozendal Global Prescient Feeder Fund                 9.25%           19.56%
          Sector Average                                        7.68%           13.20%
          Inflation (CPI)                                       3.02%            4.49%
          ProfileData performance stats to 30 June 2025: CAGR with dividends reinvested

         Describe your investment universe
           The fund is a flexible global equity fund. The focus will typically be on global equities, but the
         flexible mandate allows us to include a range of assets in order to achieve our objective. These can
         include fixed interest securities, money market instruments, cash deposits, derivatives, exchange
         traded funds, collective investment schemes and convertible bonds.
         Comment on your investment year (July 2024 – June 2025) from a fund manager’s point of view
           We give a comprehensive overview of the fund’s returns in our bi-annual investor letters that can
         be found on our website: www.rozendal.com.
           The year to 30 June 2025 comprised two dramatically different six-month periods for the fund.
         The latter half of 2024 saw the fund delivering very weak returns. Limited exposure to the US and
         the large technology stocks that dominate that market held the fund back. On top of this, some of
         the larger investments in the fund suffered share price declines. These include oil services business
         Noble, as well as European satellite operator SES and Brazilian FMCG business M Dias Branco.
           The first half of 2025 proved to be a much better period for the fund. Meaningful exposure to
         markets other than the US served the fund well. SES – which detracted from fund returns in the latter
         part of 2024 – experienced a sharp share price reversal. Global technology investment business
         Prosus, and direct-to-consumer wine retailer Naked Wines were also leading contributors to the
         fund’s positive returns for the period.
         In terms of risk management, what methods or strategies are you able to use to protect your
         clients’ investments?
           Our primary risk management tool is to allocate capital only to assets trading below fair value, and
         to hold cash when we are unable to find sensible opportunities in risky assets. Sizing positions with
         reference to the risk embedded in the underlying asset is a further way in which we manage risk.


                      Profile’s Unit Trusts & Collective Investments September 2025    181
   178   179   180   181   182   183   184   185   186   187   188