Page 180 - Profile's Unit Trusts & Collective Investments - September 2025
P. 180

Chapter 9                                              Fund manager interviews

          than being managed to the maximum.
           Geographic tilt informed by an internally developed USD/ZAR Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
         model:
           * Overvalued ZAR: Higher global allocation.
           * Undervalued ZAR: Maintain local bias.
              „ Asset Classes:
           Predominantly equities, with cash maintained below 1% of NAV.
           In  risk-off  regimes,  exposure  may  shift  into  Gold  miners,  Gold  ETFs  and  broad-based  equity
         exposure ETFs.
              „ Systematic Selection Framework:
           Momentum signals across lookback periods from 3 to 12 months.
           Stocks appearing across multiple periods receive higher weights.
           Regime  filter  determines  whether  allocations  are  tilted  to  momentum  (risk-on)  or  defensive
         strategies (risk-off).
         Comment on your investment year (July 2024 – June 2025) from a fund manager’s point of view
              „ Local Equity Universe
           The fund remains actively traded and benchmark-agnostic, with positioning determined solely by
         price momentum. Over the past year, top holdings in the portfolio shifted meaningfully. In mid-to-late
         2024, the fund was overweight SA Inc counters, but this positioning detracted from performance in
         Q1 2025 as SA Inc shares lost favour.
           At  the  same  time,  gold  miners  began  to  strengthen,  and  the  Fund  initially  lagged  as  it  was
         underweight  gold  going  into  the  rally.  Through  our  systematic  process,  allocations  shifted  away
         from SA Inc exposure and rotated into PGM counters, which by end Q2 2025 dominated the top 10
         holdings.
              „ Global Equity Universe
           Globally, the fund’s top holdings have been concentrated in the technology and energy sectors.
         While some experienced significant drawdowns during Q1 2025, most subsequently rebounded to
         new all-time highs. The fund’s current positioning is very much aligned with the ongoing AI-driven
         growth theme, alongside energy and hardware stocks that underpin this structural trend.
           From  a  fund  manager’s  perspective,  the  past  year  highlights  our  process’s  adaptive,  reactive
         nature. The fund systematically rotated out of sectors losing momentum and into those gaining
         strength, ensuring exposure remains aligned with prevailing market trends both locally and globally.

         In terms of risk management, what methods or strategies are you able to use to protect your
         clients’ investments?
           We employ a systematic, multi-layered risk management framework designed to protect client
         investments while preserving the integrity of our momentum-based process. Key methods include:
              „ Momentum-Driven Risk Control
           By design, our momentum strategy cuts losing shares early and holds onto winners longer.
           This naturally mitigates exposure to “value traps” and reduces the risk of permanent capital loss
         (e.g., avoiding collapses like Steinhoff, African Bank, Tongaat-Hulett, and Transaction Capital).
              „ Regime Filter Overlay
           A dynamic risk-on / risk-off filter adjusts allocations based on market conditions.
           In risk-off environments, exposure shifts away from concentrated equities and into broad market
         and gold exposure
           This reduces the drawdowns in trendless or down-trending markets.






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