Page 178 - Profile's Unit Trusts & Collective Investments - March 2026
P. 178

Chapter 9                                              Fund manager interviews

         while many others (Nvidia) are generating a large portion of their earnings from this same data centre
         spend. The economic returns of this AI spend are uncertain and it is a highly competitive space.
         The primary companies and products in the AI space (OpenAI, Anthropic) are not yet profitable.
         We can’t be certain that there will be a significant correction however, we don’t believe investors
         are being adequately compensated for the risk they are taking at these valuations and earnings
         levels. Companies in sectors less affected to AI disintermediation across the globe, certain well
         capitalised South African companies and specific geographies such as Japan and India all provide
         new avenues for measured portfolio diversification.

         Which asset classes do you expect will give the best total rates of return over the next few
         years?
           Equities.  Should  government’s  reforms  materialise  and  the  GDP  growth  rate  improve,  SA  Inc
         should do very well. Companies have survived a no growth environment for many years. They are
         lean and highly leveraged to top line growth. Many of these companies trade at single digit multiples
         and high dividend yield. Should the growth not materialise, we should still see double digit return
         with low downside.
           Activist  positions,  gold,  energy  and  certain  commodities.  The  US  is  continuing  to  compound
         record levels of government debt while engaging in global military and economic warfare. The global
         race for AI and energy investment will add further tailwinds to these asset classes.
         _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
         Visio BCI Balanced Fund
         Sector: South African–Multi Asset–High Equity          Unit Trust
                                                                 Awards
         Portfolio managers: Patrice Moyal and Jonathan Myerson   2026
         Benchmark: ASISA SA Multi Asset High Equity sector average  For performance to  31 December 2025
                                                                  WINNER
          Returns to investors                                  1 year          3 years
          Visio BCI Balanced Fund                              25.36%           19.65%
          Sector Average                                       18.80%           14.80%
          Inflation (CPI)                                       3.60%            3.91%
          ProfileData performance stats to 31 December 2025: CAGR with dividends reinvested

         Describe your investment universe
           SA equity, SA fixed income, SA property, SA cash, Global equity, Global fixed income, Global
         property, Global cash and Commodities.

         Comment on your investment year (January - December 2025) from a fund manager’s point
         of view
           South African equities had another stellar year with the Capped ALSI returning 42.6%. We were
         able to reposition the funds in Q2 2025 enabling us to recover from the early underperformance.
         Resources were the biggest gainers during the year with an index return of 138.2% which came
         from Gold and PGM counters. Telecoms were the only other sector to beat the market performance
         with a return of 67.1%, followed by technology at 33.1%. SA Inc performed poorly compared to the
         market  with  property  returning  23.2%,  financials  20.5%  and  consumer  goods  5.8%.  Consumer
         discretionary and general industrials recorded negative returns of -9% and -14%, respectively.
           Gold  and  PGM  prices  again  had  a  stellar  2025,  with  gold  increasing  by  64%  compared  to
         platinum’s 127% rally. Metals have continued their surge amid a weakening US dollar and elevated
         global uncertainty. The factors that drove metals prices higher over the past year remain intact,
         we therefore see continuing support for prices. In the first week of January, President Trump (US)
         intervened in Venezuela and arrested President Maduro. He also threatened to take over Greenland
         and now the current conflict in Iran seeing a push for regime change.
           The  poor  performance  of  SA  Inc  in  2025  resulted  in  shares  being  attractively  priced  with  the
         potential to outperform should earnings growth recover, driven by higher GDP in SA. The country


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